Union Budget to focus on relief to sectors under stress

Next month's Union Budget will focus on maintaining high growth and give "relief" to sectors under "stress" such as those affected by the rupee appreciation, according to Union Finance Minister, P Chidambaram.

In the minister's book, there is no such thing as an "election budget", although he acknowledges that his next budgetary exercise will be the last "full budget" of the UPA Government. If elections are held on time before May 2009, then there will be a vote-on-account next year.

As he prepares his fifth consecutive budget, Chidambaram says he has no worries other than about some sectors under "stress" which he would address.

Chidambaram admits that delivery of promised goods and services has not not been satisfactory. But he is of the view that there is enough time for improvement in this area.

He said, 16 months between now and the scheduled time of Lok sabha elections was a lot of time. "Delivery has not been satisfactory. Sixteen months is enough time to improve the delivery of goods and services."

Confident of a 9 per cent economic growth in the current fiscal, Chidambaram said that "the thrust of the budget (2008-09) will be to maintain high growth and ensure that the growth process endorses and includes larger and larger sections of people."

Growth, he emphasized, is an imperative. "Inclusive growth is what we must work for. It requires hard work. It requires better governance. It requires delivery of goods and services."

Chidambaram said "there is no sector which is worrying me. There are some sectors which are under stress. For example, one reason the rupee appreciation has caused some stress to some sectors. We will address these causes to the extent possible and give them some relief."

His remarks assume significance against the backdrop of the steady rise in the value of the rupee in the last year-and-a-half. From about Rs 46 a US dollar in July 2006, the Indian currency is now ruling at around Rs 39.40. The Commerce Ministry estimates that the appreciation could lead to a loss of Rs. 53,000 crore to exporters in 2007-08.

Otherwise, the minister felt, all sectors were doing reasonably-well in terms of production. "If there is a slow-down in demand in some sectors like housing and real estate, that is a result of a conscious policy to moderate the demand in these sectors.

Refusing to accept that the next budget will be an election-budget, the minister said he did not think that budget decide elections.

"What decides elections are our capacity to deliver what you say. Budgets only give outlays and budgets don't ensure outcomes. Between outlays and outcomes there is something called governance and delivery.

"We must deliver on the kilometres we promised, on the villages that we promised electricity and water, on the invest that we say will be made on the units of electricity will be generated," he said.

Chidambaram said budgets certainly raise expectations, and we support these expectations with financial outlays. It is the outcome of the budget that will decide whether we had delivered or not.

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